Popular Stock Analysis & Valuation
Access comprehensive quantitative reports, including Z-Score, VWAP analysis, and Forward PE models for top traded US stocks:
Core Features
- Leverage Calculator: Simulate real-time returns for leveraged ETFs like TQQQ and SOXL. Understand volatility decay before you trade.
- Fair Value Model: Calculate implicit price gaps for Bitcoin ETFs (IBIT, FBTC) by tracking real-time BTC spot prices.
- Smart Picks: AI-driven momentum strategies based on Moving Averages (EMA20/60) and RSI indicators.
Market Philosophy: The Math Behind Volatility Decay
Many traders underestimate the impact of daily resetting leverage. Let's look at the math: If an index starts at 100, drops 10% to 90, and rises 11.1% back to 100, a 1x fund breaks even.
However, a 3x leveraged ETF (like TQQQ) would drop 30% to 70, then rise 33.3% to 93.3. Result: You lose 6.7% while the market is flat.
Our calculator helps you visualize this path dependency via Monte Carlo simulations to ensure you understand the "Cost of Leverage" before holding positions overnight.
Why "Fair Value" Matters for Crypto ETFs
Bitcoin ETFs like IBIT are essentially trusts holding spot Bitcoin. However, due to market hours (NYSE vs 24/7 Crypto) and creation/redemption mechanisms, premiums and discounts occur.
When the "Gap" between the ETF price and the underlying NAV (Net Asset Value) exceeds 2 Standard Deviations (2σ), statistics suggest a mean reversion is imminent. Our tool tracks this real-time spread, acting as an arbitrage radar for sophisticated traders.
Privacy Policy Summary
All financial data entered into the calculator (such as cost basis and share count) is processed locally on your device and is never uploaded to our servers.